yorost wrote:None of that goes against anything I've said around here. Instead of being in a 1-3 conference we look to be a 3-5 conference according to most computer numbers I've seen.
You're wrong that we''l probably fall in line with the Am12, though,, the data indicates they'll be a clear step below the Big East. They'll have the top programs, but too much weight. They line up beautifully with the current A10, actually. This is why getting out was becoming necessary just as much as the instability, they're taking a harder fall than we are.
Computer numbers suggest, using future conference alignments, our new conference will be able to surpass the ACC and B1G in their down years and our up years. We hang pretty tight to them, but they are a definite step above us. We fall roughly in line with Pac and SEC and find ourselves in the 3-5 range most often.
yorost wrote:Ah, you did say better than Am12, but also better than SEC, Pac, and MWC. We look to be competing with those last 3 for ranking, but not likely the Am12. They don't fit in that group from what I've seen.
yorost wrote:Over the last few seasons, yes, our 12 team (Dayton) conference ranks consistently above the historical SEC and Pac. Going back more years than that and it stops being the case. The Pac, not so long ago, had the highest rated conference in a season. Both are on down trends, we'll see how long it stays that way.
Oh, and just for kicks, there is a season in the last 5 the future Big East rates higher than the old Big East in Sagarin score.
yorost wrote:Over the last 9 seasons, Richmond rated higher than Dayton in 1, so probably not. Swapping Richmond or Dayton doesn't make a huge difference on the overall conference number, though.
yorost wrote:...and is inconsequential in measuring conference quality as neither of you have earned many. You made the Sweet Sixteen, which is great, but Dayton has been a consistently stronger program. The consistently strong program is more likely to benefit the conference basketball product as it will help bolster computer numbers and provide for a greater chance of quality wins as less chance for bad losses.
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