Bubble Watch 3/9/24

[stever20]

33 Texas Sat vs 40 Oklahoma Q2-won 94-80
34 Nebraska Sun @ 129 Michigan Q2-won 85-70
35 Michigan St Sun @ 94 Indiana Q2-lost 64-65
36 Colorado St Sat @ 270 Air Force Q4-won 82-73
37 Oklahoma Sat @ 26 Texas Q1-lost 80-94
38 TCU Sat vs 67 UCF Q2-lost 77-79
39 Florida Atlantic Sat vs 71 Memphis Q2-won 92-84
40 Seton Hall Sat vs 322 DePaul Q4-won 86-62
-----first four--------
41 Virginia Sat vs 124 Ga Tech Q3-won 72-57
42 New Mexico Sat @ 32 Utah St Q1-lost 85-87
43 St John's Sat vs 204 Georgetown Q4-won 86-78
44 Villanova Sat vs 11 Creighton Q1-lost 67-69
------cutline----------
69 Iowa Sun vs 16 Illinois Q1-lost 61-73
70 Providence Sat vs 3 UConn Q1-lost 60-74
71 Colorado Sat @ 158 Oregon St Q3-won 73-57
72 Memphis Sat @ 33 Florida Atlantic Q1-lost 84-92
73 Drake Sat N vs 57 Bradley Q2-won 72-67 Sun N vs 26 Indiana St Q1-won 84-80 for auto bid
74 Texas A&M Sat @ 80 Ole Miss Q2-won 86-60
75 Utah Sat @ 68 Oregon Q1-lost 65-66
76 Pittsburgh Sat vs 83 NC State Q3-won 81-73
77 James Madison Sat N vs 243 Marshall Q4-won 81-64
78 Wake Forest Sat vs 24 Clemson Q1-won 81-76
79 UNLV Sat @ 34 Nevada Q1-lost 65-75
80 Ohio St Sun @ 92 Rutgers Q2-won 73-51
81 Kansas St Sat vs 8 Iowa St Q1-won 65-58
82 Syracuse Reg Season over
83 Ole Miss Sat vs 49 Texas A&M Q2-lost 60-86
84 Oregon Sat vs 48 Utah Q2-won 66-65

[kayako]

FAU win was probably ideal for the BE bubble teams.

[kayako]

Nice win by St. John's. Need to win the first BET game to "lock" in their at-large bid, but if they're 5th seed I think it's 50/50 if they lose that game. I think St. John's fans should be rooting against Seton Hall, Villanova, and Providence today.

[stever20]

Nice win by St. John's. Need to win the first BET game to "lock" in their at-large bid, but if they're 5th seed I think it's 50/50 if they lose that game. I think St. John's fans should be rooting against Seton Hall, Villanova, and Providence today.

I think St John's needs to advance to the SF to lock it in. I don't think beating DePaul in a 6/11 game would help them out at all bubble wise.

[kayako]

Nice win by St. John's. Need to win the first BET game to "lock" in their at-large bid, but if they're 5th seed I think it's 50/50 if they lose that game. I think St. John's fans should be rooting against Seton Hall, Villanova, and Providence today.

I think St John's needs to advance to the SF to lock it in. I don't think beating DePaul in a 6/11 game would help them out at all bubble wise.

My theory is games suddenly start mattering a lot less starting Friday.

[stever20]

Nice win by St. John's. Need to win the first BET game to "lock" in their at-large bid, but if they're 5th seed I think it's 50/50 if they lose that game. I think St. John's fans should be rooting against Seton Hall, Villanova, and Providence today.

I think St John's needs to advance to the SF to lock it in. I don't think beating DePaul in a 6/11 game would help them out at all bubble wise.

My theory is games suddenly start mattering a lot less starting Friday.

true, but the BET QF are Thursday.

[kayako]

true, but the BET QF are Thursday.

Yeah I've pretty much penciled them in as #5. If they have to play Wednesday and lose Thursday, it'll be same situation as losing 4/5 game. Very nervous but still some hope.

[kayako]

UNLV caps off the night with a loss. Feels like the day went pretty well all things considered. Need Illini to take Iowa down tomorrow.

Fairly straightforward path to lock or at worst highly likely spot for the BE teams:

Seton Hall - Beat SJU
SJU - Beat Seton Hall
Nova - Beat DePaul and Marquette
Providence - Beat Georgetown and Creighton

SH/SJU loser will be close
Nova/Providence probably needs A LOT of help/luck if they don't manage 2 wins.

[stever20]

UNLV caps off the night with a loss. Feels like the day went pretty well all things considered. Need Illini to take Iowa down tomorrow.

Fairly straightforward path to lock or at worst highly likely spot for the BE teams:

Seton Hall - Beat SJU
SJU - Beat Seton Hall
Nova - Beat DePaul and Marquette
Providence - Beat Georgetown and Creighton

SH/SJU loser will be close
Nova/Providence probably needs A LOT of help/luck if they don't manage 2 wins.

I think Seton Hall is pretty darn close to a lock win or lose. Got the help they needed.
I think Providence can get in quite possibly with only a Hoyas win.
I think St John's needs 1 win, and Nova needs 2 wins.

[adoraz]

Nice that Johnnies fans can watch the bubble knowing we have a real shot this time. Do need to win the Hall game otherwise we'll be sweating on Selection Sunday.