Bubble/Tournament Watch 2/20/23

[Omaha1]

Do you guys see any path whatsoever for the Johnnies to make the NCAA other than winning the BET?

Not really. Do you?

[Omaha1]

I appreciate you keeping this updated. It’s a handy reference to help understand who we want to win/lose the bubble games.

Penn St just win in Columbus, so that’s a negative for Hall. And one has to think that Chris Holtmann’s days are numbered.

[Omaha1]

Turning my attention to Memphis at Wichita State now.

[stever20]

Turning my attention to Memphis at Wichita State now.

yeah had 4 big bubble games tonight- all on the road-
Penn St @ Ohio St
Memphis @ Wichita St
Michigan @ Rutgers
USC @ Colorado

[Hall2012]

Ohio State as a q1 it's ridiculous. Feels like the Big 10 always has inflated NET rankings.

I expect they'll drop 1 spot with the loss and PSU will jump 7-10 spots with the win.

[Omaha1]

Turning my attention to Memphis at Wichita State now.

Memphis wins on the road. Bad day so far on the bubble.

[Omaha1]

Michigan over Rutgers too.

[kayako]

I appreciate you keeping this updated. It’s a handy reference to help understand who we want to win/lose the bubble games.

Penn St just win in Columbus, so that’s a negative for Hall. And one has to think that Chris Holtmann’s days are numbered.

Since I'm not really considering SH and Nova as real bubble teams, I'm more concerned with results involving teams 10-35 range.

[kayako]

Hmm New Mexico actually moved up after losing. The list was cut to 80, so we didn't get to see if Nova was anywhere near Oklahoma.

yeah I saw that. Will update overall tomorrow.

You have to think Nova is getting close to being on there. Although looking, a win over Creighton would only be their 2nd Q1 win of the year. That's tough, especially when you compare it to someone like Texas Tech who has like 5 already.

Basically win the last 3 regular season games and beat Georgetown, Nova will find itself somewhere in the first 8 out group. At that point, we just have to hope that the committee gives us a break. Conference tournament results doesn't seem to move teams up too much, but perhaps it applies to teams the committee is paying attention to. Hopefully Nova is one of those teams if it comes to that.

[stever20]

Hmm New Mexico actually moved up after losing. The list was cut to 80, so we didn't get to see if Nova was anywhere near Oklahoma.

yeah I saw that. Will update overall tomorrow.

You have to think Nova is getting close to being on there. Although looking, a win over Creighton would only be their 2nd Q1 win of the year. That's tough, especially when you compare it to someone like Texas Tech who has like 5 already.

Basically win the last 3 regular season games and beat Georgetown, Nova will find itself somewhere in the first 8 out group. At that point, we just have to hope that the committee gives us a break. Conference tournament results doesn't seem to move teams up too much, but perhaps it applies to teams the committee is paying attention to. Hopefully Nova is one of those teams if it comes to that.

I think bare minimum for Nova win those last 3 regular season games, beat Georgetown- that gets Nova to 18-14. I think Nova would probably at that point need 1 more win to feel decent about making the tourney against whoever the 3 seed would wind up being...