Bracketology Updates - 2021-22

[XUFan09]

If Xavier gets left out of the top 16 reveal, there's going to be a lot of whining from the doomsdayers in the fanbase. If they make the list, all those people will be very quiet and the Pollyannas will be praising Travis Steele. There's no in-between. Just an interesting thing to watch play out, since it seems like Xavier is tracking close to that cutoff.

going to be interesting- between now and reveal-
If it's next Sat(2/5)- games with Providence, @ Creighton along with Butler added
if it's Sat 2/12- those 3 along with DePaul, @ Seton Hall, and UConn added.

If it's 2/12 got 3 Q1 games added into the mix along with Providence. So especially if it's 2/12- being on that reveal is pretty much totally in Xavier's hands.

Yup, and I'm not sure how things will go for X. They're hard to read, but they haven't really been playing that well recently.

[stever20]

Bracketville for today:
12 Villanova 3
15 Providence 4
16 Marquette 4
20 Xavier 5
22 UConn 6
28 Creighton 7
30 Seton Hall 8

[stever20]

saw this from CBS Sports:
https://www.cbssports.com/college-baske ... ic-format/

few things-
* everything set to be normal format with 14 different sites across the country.
* minimum number games required is 25(which is normal)
* In season bracket reveal is Saturday after Super Bowl(2/19, which is 22 days away from selection Sunday)

going back to Thu-Sun schedule as well.

[stever20]

Lunardi did mini update of top 16 and the bubble...

Has Nova as 9 overall seed and Providence up to 16 overall now.

Has Creighton as last team in right now.

[Omaha1]

Lunardi did mini update of top 16 and the bubble...

Has Nova as 9 overall seed and Providence up to 16 overall now.

Has Creighton as last team in right now.

That’s a pretty remarkable drop from comfortably in (not last 8 in) to basically out. Jays will need to win some games no matter where we stand now. It’s going to be a grind for sure.

[stever20]

Lunardi did mini update of top 16 and the bubble...

Has Nova as 9 overall seed and Providence up to 16 overall now.

Has Creighton as last team in right now.

That’s a pretty remarkable drop from comfortably in (not last 8 in) to basically out. Jays will need to win some games no matter where we stand now. It’s going to be a grind for sure.

It'll be interesting to see tomorrow when all the others release theirs as well. I don't expect you guys to be that low with everyone at all- but it's going to get warm for you guys.

Saturday seems like a gigantic game- home with Xavier. After that next 2 is @ UConn and @ Seton Hall.

[Hall2012]

It could end up being an either-or situation between SHU and CU rather than both, as those head-to-head games could very well end up being swing games on both sides.

Looking from a SHU perspective:
Currently: 12-7 (3-6)
From the remaining schedule:
Absolute must wins: Georgetown x2, Butler home, DePaul home
Unlikely to win: @Nova, @Xavier, @UConn
Toss-ups: Creighton x2, Xavier home, (PC home if played, but I doubt it will be)

Winning the musts and losing the unlikelys puts SHU at 16-10 (7-9). From that point they probably need at least 2 of the 3 toss-ups to have a realistic shot at getting in. Fortunately, SHU was one of the teams that did enough OOC to have a chance at getting in the tournament with a losing conference record (even with Texas and Michigan looking worse by the day, NET doesn't seem to want to drop them from Q1 status).

[stever20]

It could end up being an either-or situation between SHU and CU rather than both, as those head-to-head games could very well end up being swing games on both sides.

Looking from a SHU perspective:
Currently: 12-7 (3-6)
From the remaining schedule:
Absolute must wins: Georgetown x2, Butler home, DePaul home
Unlikely to win: @Nova, @Xavier, @UConn
Toss-ups: Creighton x2, Xavier home, (PC home if played, but I doubt it will be)

Winning the musts and losing the unlikelys puts SHU at 16-10 (7-9). From that point they probably need at least 2 of the 3 toss-ups to have a realistic shot at getting in. Fortunately, SHU was one of the teams that did enough OOC to have a chance at getting in the tournament with a losing conference record (even with Texas and Michigan looking worse by the day, NET doesn't seem to want to drop them from Q1 status).

One thing that's helping you guys with Michigan is they're starting to rebound some- won last 3- including a 18 point thumping of Indiana. And with Michigan obviously being a road win top 75 only is required. Texas has bounced back as well to win last 2 looking at it.

[Hall2012]

It could end up being an either-or situation between SHU and CU rather than both, as those head-to-head games could very well end up being swing games on both sides.

Looking from a SHU perspective:
Currently: 12-7 (3-6)
From the remaining schedule:
Absolute must wins: Georgetown x2, Butler home, DePaul home
Unlikely to win: @Nova, @Xavier, @UConn
Toss-ups: Creighton x2, Xavier home, (PC home if played, but I doubt it will be)

Winning the musts and losing the unlikelys puts SHU at 16-10 (7-9). From that point they probably need at least 2 of the 3 toss-ups to have a realistic shot at getting in. Fortunately, SHU was one of the teams that did enough OOC to have a chance at getting in the tournament with a losing conference record (even with Texas and Michigan looking worse by the day, NET doesn't seem to want to drop them from Q1 status).

One thing that's helping you guys with Michigan is they're starting to rebound some- won last 3- including a 18 point thumping of Indiana. And with Michigan obviously being a road win top 75 only is required. Texas has bounced back as well to win last 2 looking at it.

They nearly choked away the Northwestern game last night though lol. They chose to foul up 3 with 4 seconds left, then after a make on the first free throw, they conceded an offensive rebound on the 2nd that led to Northwestern getting a good look at a 3 for the win.

[stever20]

It could end up being an either-or situation between SHU and CU rather than both, as those head-to-head games could very well end up being swing games on both sides.

Looking from a SHU perspective:
Currently: 12-7 (3-6)
From the remaining schedule:
Absolute must wins: Georgetown x2, Butler home, DePaul home
Unlikely to win: @Nova, @Xavier, @UConn
Toss-ups: Creighton x2, Xavier home, (PC home if played, but I doubt it will be)

Winning the musts and losing the unlikelys puts SHU at 16-10 (7-9). From that point they probably need at least 2 of the 3 toss-ups to have a realistic shot at getting in. Fortunately, SHU was one of the teams that did enough OOC to have a chance at getting in the tournament with a losing conference record (even with Texas and Michigan looking worse by the day, NET doesn't seem to want to drop them from Q1 status).

One thing that's helping you guys with Michigan is they're starting to rebound some- won last 3- including a 18 point thumping of Indiana. And with Michigan obviously being a road win top 75 only is required. Texas has bounced back as well to win last 2 looking at it.

They nearly choked away the Northwestern game last night though lol. They chose to foul up 3 with 4 seconds left, then after a make on the first free throw, they conceded an offensive rebound on the 2nd that led to Northwestern getting a good look at a 3 for the win.

Right.

Just with the threshold for that being top 75, really tough to see that one not being a Q1 one. They're at 42 right now so would need to really collapse.

Texas could be more interesting, especially if the SEC creams the Big 12 in the conference challenge on Saturday where then all the conference games don't look as great.